Featured research
HYDRA
Watershed forecasting research with deep learning
Experiencing Hurricane Helene in Boone is why I study watershed dynamics and forecast reliability. HYDRA asks whether a deep-learning model can make NOAA’s NextGen streamflow forecasts more reliable 1 to 18 hours ahead, using only information that would really be available when the forecast is issued.
Results pending · results manuscript in preparation for Water Resources Research; software paper planned for Environmental Modelling & Software
How it works
Generate
Reforecasts and data
NextGen reforecast generation software and Google Cloud workflows acquire, validate, and align weather, streamflow, and forecast data with traceable provenance.
Correct
A learned post-processor
Designing post-processing for 1–18 hour lead times, comparing LSTM, Transformer, and Mamba-style models on identical inputs and splits.
Evaluate
By site and lead time
Leakage-aware temporal splits and hydrologic metrics (RMSE, NSE, KGE), reported by site and lead time.
